I get that, but there's no guarantee we get a top five pick even if we bottom out. Worst case scenario, we could end up about standing pat, getting 5-7th overall, and a team or two behind us wins the lottery and we pick even later than that.
I know that the 2022 draft class isn't held in very high regard, but I'd take a second overall now versus potentially a fifth, sixth, seventh, or later overall next year.
I understand that. Ultimately it comes down to what you think Davidson is going to do with this team next season.
If you are someone who sees him trying to make this team as awful as possible next season (something that can be done with as little effort as it'd take to re-sign Lankinen and Delia) or someone who is rebuilding, but want's to make things at least a tiny bit competitive. Given Powers' views a few months back that the Hawks likely won't re-sign Strome or Kubalik because they might hurt the tank, it does feel like Davidson is going to try to ensure a top 5 pick next season (obviously dependent on what happens tonight).
Again, if there was a consensus #2 in this draft, I'd take it happily. But there is Wright and then a handful of names that could go anywhere in the handful of spots after him. Hawks would get the pick of the litter if they had 2nd overall, but whether they nail down the pick or not would come strictly down to luck. I think I'd be just as happy with next years handful of guys over the handful that could be had with a 2nd overall pick now.
And obviously, not counting the potential impact players we could get with what happens tonight, there are other reasons to be for and against a lotto win tonight. If they win, the team they ice next season likely will be a tiny bit better. If they lose, at least you can have a smile on your face every night they're getting their teeth bashed in next season because that raises our chances.
Difficult choices, but I think I'd rather get Wright or keep our 2023 pick.