It’s odd that this is the line of argument you continuing to pursue and the hill you’re dying on.
The idea that you can’t make inferences about individuals based on the characteristics of a population they belong to is certainly bold, I’ll give you that!
Please, we've been over this countless times. I
like analytics. I think they're phenomenally useful tools
after you've evaluated the individual.
What I have a problem with is your cut and paste, "it always works this way" methodology. Plenty of others do too. There are some
banging posts in the last week or so that told you exactly what the problem is and you've never paid them any attention, or just have no real answer, so you wait a few days and then double down on the exact same crap somewhere else.
Then you want to compare developing draft picks to
winning the f***ing Powerball, and you think that's a win for you. Well, if Kucherov is the powerball, there are a shitload of other winning lottery tickets. You don't have to hit the absolute jackpot
for you to still be wrong about the way things work, and you have been so much more often than you care to admit that it's getting embarrassing.
These are reflective stats, not predictive ones, and you need to be able to hold them against individuals and judge where you think things will go
based on the individual or you have no place giving feedback in the game, period. For as long as sports are played by humans that will always be true.