I think it is very interesting that the highest pre-draft ranking forReichel I saw was from Draft Dynasty who had him a shockingly high 11th ...
As explained in the video in the Draft Dynasty Final Ranking from 20-11 on YouTube the ranking was based oncoming fir guys with higher ceilings and with more likihood of reaching it ... The assessment onReichel was that he may only top out at 69-65 points bit that you get so many other things with that because he is goid on tge boards and will only get ecen better with more strength as he mature...has such good hockey instincts always making the right lkay...plays a consistent game both ways and goid work ethic forecheck and backaches,does not cheat,,skates well ,checks hard,etc...plus dod very well agaibst men in tge DEL as a 17 yr old most of this season(just turned 18 after tgexseasoninMay)..
So given that high rankibg by admittedly a draft hobbyist who does tge Draft Dynasty videos out of passion but who scours lots of video on prospects looking at bat least 10 games for each and uoto 20 for some reviews,this youtube channel (Draft Dynasty) does a very thorough job in assisting players but emphasizes that it is not where a player is now but what he coukd be 3-4 years from now that matters most.
So on the review for Reichel he admits Reichel is not the 11th best player Now but he is projecting success that he will be a player who reaches his ceiking even though that ceiling ipotentialky less than sone others most have ranked ahead of Eeichel who may never get to the ceilings expected of them...but tgat tge total oackagw you woukd get with Reichel is more than just t tge points he coukd get in his ceiling ..you get a player who plays every game to win and will not slack on shifts,win battles and make plays from that and be good all over tge ice.
So he tells us...do nit expect a mReichel to put up 90-100points..his ceilong is probably all point guy..but considering the total package that would be an excellent pick ..
So Draft Dynasty ranked him that high...
Even tge panel of 10NHK scouts tgat BobMcKenzie uses ranked Reichel 20th...so taking homat#17 is in no way a stretch..
Just realize that kids other rankibg orgs had higher thanReichel coukd reach higher celibgs,or lower floors than Reichel or be complete busts and that the failure rate is high even for many exalted first rounders.
So sure it is possible that Lapierre reaches a higher ceiling but he could akso bust because of his concusdion history or his shot which is not that good ....
It is possible Jacob Prreaukt whosexshot is great scores 35 goals a year one day but even so his ceiling may be just about 65-70 poubts and the rezt of his game without tge ouck slacks too often which mitigates tge net benefits he might bring on offense.
It is possible Mercer with the right linenates hits his celibg but even tgere thatvis not hoibgvto be much gigher than Reichel's but coukd be lower if Mercer only topsvoutxas a 3rd liner akbeitc2 way giyvalso.
It is one thing to think a celiling level on a prospectcforcwhatvygey havecshown so far ...but quite another thing to guess IF that jid reaches tge expected ceiking for the next level ...whether development ceiling has already been reached or whether a lot more via development is coming..
Some prospects ,will be ready forctge NHL sooner ...sone need more developmentvtone to reach their full impact potential.
The Hawks like most actual NHL team scouts probably viewed Reichel as a legit 'equal vKue" risk in a group of 4 they expected might be there from 17-20 ....we do not know if Reichel was 20th o their ore-draft list and 3 higher ranked on their list already were gone or whether only 1 or 2 came off and Reichel was next up on their list.
Tgey probably did not have himat #17 but somewhere between 17-20....or if all 4 "equal value" targetsxtgeyvtalkedvofcwrexoff by#17 then maybe he was next up at #21 I theirvrankibg?
We do not know..
ISS had Reichel #23 .,Mckenzie at #20 and the very admittedly "nob-conssenus" Draft Dybasty #11 ...so given these 3 parameters drafting homat #17 was no stretch ..
If you added alm tgebither rankibv orgs with tgeir much lower rankibg,it could be tgey arectoo influenced by what a pkayers now vs.what he projects to be 3-4 years from now ......youvakso must gator in the different stages of development by early birth dates vs. Later ones like tge May birthrate of Reichel.
But thise calling it a blown pick or a reach are way too clingy to the "consensus" formed by viewing 7-10rankibg lists...
Reichel should be better than Saad because much much superior hockey sense and Daad is on our 1st line abd oaid $6mil a year for basically 50 points and over-rated defensive ability ...so it is not stretch to thonk that Reichel can be bettervoffensovely plus better drfensovely once he is NHL ready and fills out...
So I ghink those calling it a blown pick or that we shoukd have taken certain guys taken after Reichel are way too pre-mature I calling it now...wait 3-4 years.
And if Reichek turns out better than even a #17 "value"...if he getsxto 11th best draft Ed from this class as only Draft Dynasty daredctp put out. Then we all will be laughing our heads off and praising Kelley Nd his stuff for this pick
If a guy picked after Reichel turns out better then so be it...a riskier bet turned roses for that lucky team..
Put it hhhsxwY...if we get 3/4 the pkayer Hossa was fromTeichel that woukd be a job well done by our scouts.. If he turns into Hossa then we are laughing all the way to the H of F with the pick.
I will settle for 3/4 Hossa ...that woukd be be so much better than Saad who has not lived upto his paycheck or 1st line status .
So I expect Reichel to live upto his 17th pick value or exceed it ...
Let us look back in 5 years and re-asses ...way to early to say who was closest to the right guess on Reichel (Iss ,McKenzie /NHL Scouts Panel,The Blackhawks ,or the crazy dude from Draft Dynasty ) vs. Alk tgebithervdraft orgscwho had him more as jate first to a n early 40s pick range ....methinks the first group had it right and he belongs somewhere 11-23 so that 17th is perfectly reasonable and all the others will be proven way off base.
So those claiming Hawks fansxare angry over the pick,Stan blewcit/ a "reach" ,tgese are too stuck on rankibg list s...What matters the actual analysis of a prospect's game,his development ptojection 3-4 years down the road...not not where he is now.
I am optimistic for this pick..