Golf: 2024 PGA Championship - Three Men and (Scottie's) Baby

Dr John Carlson

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Dec 21, 2011
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2024 PGA Championship Field

It's once again major week in the world of golf. This time, it's the 106th edition of the PGA Championship, held at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky. Brooks Koepka is our defending champion, and Rory McIlroy won this event the last time it was contested here at Valhalla in 2014.

Who are the favourites? It seems three men have emerged as the popular picks to win. First, needing no introduction, is world number one Scottie Scheffler, coming in off of a stretch of four win in five starts, including victories at the Masters and the Players. Data Golf's all-time strokes gained rankings suggest Scottie is currently playing at a higher level than anyone over the past 30 years sans the GOAT, and sportsbooks have him as the clear favourite. There is one small hitch - Mr. Scheffler is now a father for the first time, as his newborn son was delivered last week. While this eliminates him from pulling a Hunter Mahan and having to withdraw mid-event to be with his wife, it also means he is likely coming in either gassed or rusty. Will he overcome to claim his second major of the year?

Favourite number two is the aforementioned world number two Rory McIlroy, winner in 2014 at this very course, and coming in off of two victories in a row. Rory has famously not claimed victory at a major in a decade, but sportsbooks are bullish on his chances this time around, with his number being as low as +700. Is this finally his time?

The third popular pick is defending champion Brooks Koepka. Golf's number one killer has won this tournament three times in his career, and had a respectable T15 finish here in 2014 as a green 24 year old, in one of his first major starts. Brooks cruised to victory versus the LIV boys in Singapore in his most recent start two weeks ago. With momentum on his side and a track record of success, can he claim major number six?

Here are the remainder of the favourites, odds via bet365:

Scottie Scheffler +400
Rory McIlroy +700
Brooks Koepka +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Jon Rahm +1400
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Max Homa +2200
Bryson DeChambeau +2500
Collin Morikawa +2800
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Michael Block +150000

Anything that stands out?
 
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TB12

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Apr 5, 2015
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I always say I'm never picking Rory in majors again (it has been a decade) and then he goes and has a week like last week where he gets my hopes up again.

Does fatherhood affect Scottie's preparation? Koepka is in form after winning the last LIV event and could be in prime spot to get his 4th (!!!) PGA, which is just insane.

How fun would it be if all 3 of those guys are in contention on Sunday?
 
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MVP of West Hollywd

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Oct 28, 2008
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I'm calling it Mcilroy does it! Lower pressure than Masters and British Open.

DeChambeau has been doing well at majors and Morikawa with a 3rd at Masters with a 9th and 16th since looks decent pick to me.

I always understimate Koepka betting telling myself there's no way he can win his _______ major and then he does it.

Sleepers Straka, Kim. They both have two top 10s and a top 20 at the last 5 majors although the best finish for both was T2 getting destroyed by Harman when there wasn't really any pressure on them to choke.
 
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Tony Romo

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Sep 25, 2011
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Spieth seems to be doing pretty well so far. Kinda waiting for the wheels to fall off.
 

BMOK33

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Oct 5, 2005
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Scottie needs at least 68-69 here today with those names that are -2 or better. I feel if he does not get at least that he'd have his work cut out for him to keep the yearly major sweep hopes intact. There is just too much experience and former major winner talent up there right now to try and out score them all over 54
 

Filthy Dangles

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Oct 23, 2014
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Holy shit, Scottie just holed out for eagle on the first hole

He’s unfairly good at golf

Cool to see that live
 
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GKJ

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Do they have the entire Louisville Police Force out there? Like wtf
 
Sep 19, 2008
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According to ESPN reporter Jeff Darlington, who witnessed the incident, Scheffler was trying to drive around the crash scene on a median. A police officer instructed Scheffler to stop, but Scheffler continued to drive about 10 to 20 yards toward the entrance.

At one point, an officer attached himself to the side of Scheffler's car. Scheffler stopped his car as he turned into the entrance of Valhalla Golf Club.

After about 20 to 30 seconds, Scheffler rolled down his window to talk to the officer. The officer grabbed Scheffler's arm to pull him out of the vehicle, according to Darlington. The officer reached inside the vehicle to open the door, and once Scheffler was pulled out, he was pushed against the car and placed in handcuffs.

Darlington was standing at the entrance when Scheffler was detained. Darlington said Scheffler turned to him and asked, "Can you help?"

According to Darlington, an officer instructed him to back away.

"You need to get out of the way," the officer told Darlington. "There's nothing you can do. He's going to jail."

Pure stupidity from Scheffler.
 

GKJ

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Feb 27, 2002
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It shouldn’t matter who he is, but it’s not like he broke and sped off down the road like you’d expect from someone who was dragged out of a vehicle and detained.
 

PanthersPens62

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Mar 7, 2009
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If I was trying to cordon off a crash scene where someone died, and some dickhead decided he'd try to jump ahead and drive on the median, I'd be pretty pissed off too.
From what I heard, the golfers all have marked vehicles & were allowed to bypass the traffic & directed in to the club by the police. Why was Scottie not treated the same way? Something seems VERY fishy here.
 
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