I still enjoy my Colorado buddy (who has a couple PhDs in bioengineering) freaking out and crying conspiracy after the Avs got bumped down to #4 in 2017 and 2019. I had to remind him:
1. Did you already forget about the Avs winning the 2013 lottery for MacKinnon?
2. Just because you have the 'best' odds at 18%, that means you have an 82% chance of not picking #1. In 2017, the Avs had a 52% chance at dropping to #4. In 2019, it was 50.6%. If I flip a coin twice and it came up heads both times it doesn't mean that the coin is rigged.
3. Even by 2019, it was looking like the Avs lucked into Cale Makar as they would have taken Nolan Patrick had he been available.
1. Did you already forget about the Avs winning the 2013 lottery for MacKinnon?
2. Just because you have the 'best' odds at 18%, that means you have an 82% chance of not picking #1. In 2017, the Avs had a 52% chance at dropping to #4. In 2019, it was 50.6%. If I flip a coin twice and it came up heads both times it doesn't mean that the coin is rigged.
3. Even by 2019, it was looking like the Avs lucked into Cale Makar as they would have taken Nolan Patrick had he been available.