I'm not comfortable trading Kyrou for the #5 overall pick (plus other picks) in this year's draft. I do not believe that there will be a future 1D on the board at that pick and frankly I'm not very confident that any D man in this draft will become a 1D. I see a lot of top pair upside and guys who are pretty safe bets to have top 4 floors. But I'm not completely sold on any of them and I think it is pretty safe to assume that at least 1 D man is gone before pick #5.
Picking #5 doesn't give you very good odds to pick up a #1 D man. Take a look at D men drafted 5th-10th from 2010-2019:
2010: Dylan McIlrath (10th)
2011: Hamilton (9th) and Brodin (10th)
2012: Reilly (5th), H Lindholm (6th), Dumba (7th), Pouliot (8th), Trouba (9th), Koekkoek (10th)
2013: Nurse (7th), Ristolainen (8th)
2014: Fleury (7th)
2015: Hanifin (5th), Provorov (7th), Werenski (8th)
2016: Juolevi (5th), Sergachev (9th)
2017: none
2018: Q Hughes (7th), Boqvist (8th), Bouchard (10th)
2019: Seider (6th), Broberg (8th)
I see 8 guys on that list that would set a a rebuild back 1+ years and be viewed as a complete disaster (McIlrath, Brodin, Pouliot, Koekkoek, Fleury, Juolevi, Boqvist, and Broberg). That's a 36% complete bust rate. On pure talent/resume/ability, I have zero interest trading a 26 year old Kyrou for an 18 year old version of Dumba, Ristolainen, or Provorov. I think those would all be clear losses for us. Already, I see a 50% 'clear loss' rate just on raw ability without even factoring in development time.
It isn't like the other 50% is all 'clear wins.' Several guys took years to develop and then didn't break out until after leaving the team that drafted them. Several showed the promise of being 'that guy,' got paid like it and are now overpaid for what they became. Some are paid appropriately, but still not good enough to be a franchise D man. Then you have a few guys that really hit and would be a clear win.
I'm not trading Kyrou for that much uncertainty with such a low chance of true success. We have another 14 months before Kyou's NTC kicks in. Even if you believe that we need to move Kyrou in order to accomplish our long-term goals, we don't need to move him for pure picks right now.
I'm not at all eager to move Kyrou, but would definitely move him in the right deal to address the blue line. But I need more certainty on the D I'm getting back than the massive uncertainty surrounding a 5th overall pick. That could be an established player of roughly the same age (with significant term) or it could be a prospect with high draft pedigree and multiple post-draft years of encouraging development. But I'm not doing it for a draft pick where at least 1 D man is almost certainly off the board.