This contract was always going to be ugly. Most figured by Year 3, but I am not surprised in the slightest that it is getting ugly in Year Zero. He played well in the SC season. But he was singularly responsible for at least 50 goals last season and he is damn close to averaging one goal caused / contributed to per game this season.
The question which should be asked is, "Can we get a decent 2C for Toews straight-up?" Better yet, could we try to turn this into a blockbuster, and move Toews, Ryjo, Ritchie and a 1st for a legit 2C with term and a cost-contained 4D?
Before the typical calls for my execution, remember that Landy has not been totally dismissed at this point, and his $7M could find its way back under the cap next year. Remember too that the regional sports networks are dropping like flies, which could have a negative impact on the cap in upcoming years. But let's face facts:
1) It is going to be hard to get value for Girard until he puts a solid year in, post-program.
2) Manson has an NMC.
3) Makar is absolutely not going anywhere.
4) The current bottom pair cannot get any cheaper - using Malinski and JMFJ for the time being, Behrens in the future.
The Avs are simply too top-heavy. Mac and Makar are worthwhile expenses. Mikko at $9 has potential to be worthwhile, if he could stay consistent. Mikko at $12M? Meh. Landy at $7M? Toews at $7.25M? That is the top 5 players eating $44.85M or 53.7% of the 2023 cap and 51.1% of the Bettmen forecasted cap for 2024. Then come new contracts for Mikko, Byram, Georgie ( or a replacement closer to $5M), LOC ( He is way outperforming his $1.05M AAV.) Kovalenko is likely to outplay his $985K salary and want more.
The absolute best-case scenario is that Landy returns for the playoffs, and 're-injures' himself with 2 minutes to go in a 6-1 blowout in Game 7 of the SCF. He can then sail into the LTIR sunset, negating that incredibly stupid contract. Even then one more bloated salary is going to have to be jettisoned. Is it Mikko? If given a choice between Mikko going, or Toews going, who do you choose?